Thursday, August 2, 2012

Grid Failure - II

Continued from Part I

There is a code (IEGC) for participants of the grid to follow. For the past several months the North Region Grid operator had been complaining to the Electricity Regulator of repeated violations of the code.

 The Electricity Regulatory Commission has put out the the daily pattern the recent period -


 in its order on 26th July, which was not even attended by the erring states. No surprise that the grid eventually collapsed.


The malaise is deeper if such a failure happens despite institutions meant to prevent it and a transmission infrastructure which can handle well above the capacity being transmitted at that time. Can we please shift the focus back the facts ... and yes the sector should have deep reforms, but that is  another debate.



Can we have this debate please now and should not someone be responsible for the loss half the nation faced.

Grid Failure in India

 With all the expertise that is pouring from in the electronic and print media on the subject I was left wondering as to where the truth lies.

I therefore diverted the purpose of this blog to matters distant from Bangalore and focus on a few pictures downloaded from the Northern Regional Load Dispatch Centre. Even for someone uninitiated it is easy to see how the participants of the grid have made a mockery of the system and caused wild and dangerous excursions to the frequency.


(red indicates operation outside the normal range)
This was not on the 1st day but after the grid already failed once. You notice that around 13 hours the grid snapped and there is no trace for more than an hour. Here is picture of what major states are drawing from the grid vis-a-vis their quota fixed a day in advance.

(brown line above green means drawal more than you are allowed for)




 





The order in which these graphs leave no room for doubt who was drawing beyond their means. Not only is this a one-off incident this indiscipline was rampant.

Contd. in Part II

Wednesday, August 1, 2012

Big Cats - Do they have personalities



I am sure if one knew them they would be creatures in contrast.

Cheetah



Sometimes a picture should be left to tell its own story

A Rare Bird


The Black Swan shot to prominence due to Nicholas Taleb to describe events whose probability is low that they are almost unlikely to happen and who have a profound impact.  In English, when the phrase was coined, the black swan was presumed not to exist. The importance of the simile lies in its analogy to the fragility of any system of thought. 

 

 

Here is the Black Swan 








("a rare bird in the lands, very much like a black swan")